Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 4.189795 4.981344 5.861160 6.908672 8.118790 9.469672 11.088576
2025-10-12 3.145211 4.190591 5.469740 7.137787 9.241774 11.792549 15.102309
2025-10-19 2.532202 3.706629 5.260755 7.440078 10.384447 14.187150 19.425760
2025-10-26 2.024405 3.220801 4.916378 7.447436 11.071651 16.005556 23.145064
2025-11-02 1.589564 2.733333 4.460215 7.188674 11.304206 17.173779 26.039674
2025-11-09 1.268274 2.345413 4.069914 6.939776 11.476486 18.220471 28.799920
2025-11-16 1.071700 2.116710 3.880048 6.952472 12.012719 19.809469 32.443589
2025-11-23 0.915436 1.924807 3.714470 6.969062 12.535758 21.398057 36.186786
2025-11-30 0.776441 1.735907 3.521027 6.903760 12.901623 22.749804 39.642175
2025-12-07 0.630157 1.502458 3.208658 6.581483 12.784702 23.292190 41.818863
2025-12-14 0.540768 1.366917 3.057299 6.527158 13.118343 24.591502 45.311292
2025-12-21 0.468841 1.254167 2.932133 6.502302 13.493954 25.978975 49.034754
2025-12-28 0.443204 1.244320 3.019977 6.913538 14.734671 28.999271 55.829711
2026-01-04 0.402465 1.190345 3.006508 7.118149 15.601175 31.418988 61.745406
2026-01-11 0.372811 1.157911 3.035061 7.412176 16.667376 34.276937 68.630237
2026-01-18 0.327713 1.074991 2.935590 7.417288 17.150942 36.080889 73.709329
2026-01-25 0.274057 0.955483 2.729887 7.158821 17.062279 36.783691 76.784036
2026-02-01 0.229412 0.850292 2.540729 6.910660 16.964434 37.450503 79.819110
2026-02-08 0.203151 0.794275 2.467004 6.923255 17.427340 39.251437 85.134364
2026-02-15 0.180382 0.743573 2.398825 6.939767 17.897811 41.095601 90.640343
2026-02-22 0.157549 0.686436 2.303235 6.874704 18.174609 42.556410 95.467072
2026-03-01 0.129724 0.603160 2.118182 6.553631 17.822831 42.671360 97.577728
2026-03-08 0.113622 0.558495 2.038370 6.499510 18.096846 44.132993 102.528241